Computer scientist and fantast Ray Kurzweil has set some very specific timeline for when humanity will achieve immortality , andartificial intelligence(AI ) will accomplish the uniqueness . The good news , if his predictions show to be precise , is that you just need to depend upon out the next seven years for your probability at living incessantly .
Kurzweil has a sensible data track disc of make prediction about technology , right predicting in 1990 that a electronic computer would beat human humanity chess championsby the class 2000 , the rise of portable electronic computer and smartphones , the shift to more wireless technology , and foreseeing the plosion of the net before that was obvious to everyone .
In 2010 , he evenreviewed his own predictionsfrom 20 years prior to see how they were faring . In the patch , he claim that of the 147 predictions he made in 1990 about the years leading up to 2010 , 115 proved to be " entirely correct " while another 12 were essentially right , and only 3 were entirely unseasonable .
He of course gets things wrong , such as predicting self - motor railroad car wouldbe in utilization by 2009 .
So while claims of immortality are bold ( and , let ’s face it , probably wrong ) they at least should n’t be dismissed out of bridge player . Kurzweil has been make bluff predictions like this for some time , sticking remarkably close to the dates he adjust initially .
" 2029 is the logical engagement I have predicted for when an AI will slip by a valid Turing test and therefore accomplish human levels of tidings , " Kurzweiltold Futurism in 2017 . " I have set the appointment 2045 for the ' Singularity ' which is when we will multiply our efficient intelligence activity a billion flock by merging with the tidings we have created . "
In terms of immortality , Kurzweil believesthat by the year 2030 , we will be able to " progress human life expectancy " by " more than a twelvemonth every year " . Part of this – itself progress towards the uniqueness 15 year after – will see nanobots flow through our bloodstream , make repairs andlinking our psyche up to the cloud . When this happens , we will be able-bodied to send videos ( or email if you need to cogitate about the more slow aspects of being a freaking bionic man ) flat from our brain , as well asbacking up our memories .
For Kurzweil , the singularity is not something to be feared , but something that will ameliorate world , finally making us " godlike " .
“ We ’re become to be rummy . We ’re go bad to be sexier . We ’re cash in one’s chips to be respectable at expressing loving sentiment , ” hesaid in 2015 .
" If I want to access 10,000 computer for two seconds I can do that wirelessly,“he explain , " and [ my computational power ] procreate itself in the swarm ten thousand fold . That ’s what we ’re gon na do with our neocortex . "
" So I ’m walking along and I see Larry Page come , and I better opine of something clever to say but 300 million modules in my neocortex is n’t gon na turn out it . I require a billion for two sec . I ’ll be able admittance that in the swarm , just like I can multiply the word of my smartphone chiliad - fold today . "
Nanobots have been used to deliverdrug payloads into brain tumour , but without significant cash advance over the next few years it ’s difficult to see how we could reach that full point within seven years . nous - electronic computer interfaces have move on importantly , with paralyzed patient able tospell out sentences using their mindand imp able-bodied to ( finally)playPong .
However , we are a tenacious fashion from the hereafter as account by Kurzweil , with human - AI interactions for the most part take aim place the old - fashioned style . Only time will tell apart if he is right . Fortunately , accord to his predictions , time is something we will have spate of .
[ H / T : Popular Mechanics ]
